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“We Were Inverted”

BY BRENDAN WAGNER, Portfolio Manager A yield curve inversion has preceded every US recession in the past 60 years.  As the spread between 10 and 2 year Treasury yields heads toward zero and possibly below, might a recession follow? There’s … Read More

Q1 2018 Earnings: Confusing, Humbling, & Rational

Results generally excellent, but they are backward looking and aided by tax cuts — future outlooks introduced enough uncertainty to dent a pricy, nervous stock market BY BRENDAN WAGNER, Portfolio Manager The headlines ranged from excited to euphoric to apoplectic … Read More

Low Inflation and Unemployment Doesn’t Puzzle Us

BY BRENDAN WAGNER Low inflation plus low unemployment is “puzzling” the Fed.  It doesn’t need to puzzle us. Fed Chair Janet Yellen: “My colleagues and I may have misjudged the strength of the labor market” Inflation in healthcare, rent and … Read More

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